Latest developments: The most violent and destructive part of Hurricane Milton approaches the western coast of Florida
Arab Weather - Satellite images from the Arab Weather Regional Center indicate that the tropical cyclone has been downgraded from Category 5 (the most severe and powerful) to Category 4 over the Gulf of Mexico, pushing huge amounts of thunderclouds towards Florida before its direct impact begins, accompanied by strong winds that reach speeds of about 257 km/h, causing a sharp rise in waves of more than 6 meters, in addition to its heavy rains.
The eye wall of the hurricane, the most violent part of the storm, crosses the west coast of Florida early Thursday morning.
The weather forecast team at the Arab Weather Regional Center is monitoring the passage of the most violent part of the hurricane, which is the eye wall, at exactly 1:00 AM on Thursday, according to local time in the state of Florida, where winds and rainfall will intensify, causing flooding in different areas of the state. However, it is expected that the hurricane will decline to the first degree when it passes over the surface of the land, and its impact will remain dangerous on Florida until it exits it and continues its path towards the waters of the Atlantic Ocean, with further decline in its intensity.
According to experts at the Arab Weather Center, the eye wall of the hurricane is about 200 km away from the coast of western Florida, which means that strong weather effects, such as strong winds and heavy rains, may reach coastal areas even though the eye itself does not pass over them. This distance reflects the importance of preparation and readiness, as severe weather conditions can lead to dire consequences for residents and property when the eye wall passes.
The hurricane is expected to move eastward, although its category has weakened, but the danger level remains high.
After monitoring the latest computer modeling data at the Arab Weather Center, the hurricane is expected to continue moving northeast to east in the Gulf of Mexico to hit the west coast of Florida hard late Wednesday until early Thursday morning, before retreating on Thursday and crossing to the eastern side of the state heading towards the Atlantic Ocean. The track and intensity forecasts can be shown in the following points according to the latest updates and are subject to update depending on the developments that may occur to the hurricane:
Wednesday : The massive hurricane continues to move northeastward and is downgraded to a Category 4, directly impacting the west coast of Florida at 9 p.m. EST (4 a.m. Thursday Mecca time) and peaking at dawn on Thursday, accompanied by strong winds, torrential rains and rough waves.
Thursday: The hurricane continues to move east after making landfall, but is downgraded to a Category 1, which is less dangerous but brings heavy rains, strong winds, and the threat of flooding and inundation of coastal areas with waves.
Friday: The hurricane crosses land and reaches the Atlantic Ocean, making it under observation due to the possibility of the tropical system developing due to the warming of the Atlantic Ocean surface waters.
Latest hurricane coordinates based on latest observations received
Maximum sustained winds are 125 knots (145 mph), with a minimum central pressure of 931 millibars. The center is located at 25.8 degrees North, 84.3 degrees West, and is moving northeast at 15 knots (17 mph).
For those interested and specialists, why is the eye wall considered the most violent?
Eyewall intensity refers to the intensity and strength of the storms that form around the "eye" of a hurricane, the relatively calm center of a tropical cyclone. The eyewall consists of the large clouds that surround the eye and produce the strongest winds and rainfall in the system. The eyewall is characterized by severe weather conditions, as winds in this part of the hurricane are faster, rainfall is heavier, and severe thunderstorms are often accompanied by severe thunderstorms.
Scientifically, eye wall strength is linked to several factors, including:
Wind Strength: The eye wall contains the strongest winds in a hurricane due to the large drop in air pressure at the center of the hurricane, which causes the winds to accelerate toward the eye.
Heat transfer: In the eyewall, large amounts of latent heat are transferred from the ocean surface through evaporation, which contributes to the strengthening of the storm.
Vertical Lift: Strong vertical lift occurs, causing large amounts of moisture to condense, creating additional thermal energy that feeds the storm and increases its strength.
Dynamic Stability: The eye wall has a dynamically organized structure that allows wind and rain to flow in a regular manner, thus maintaining the intensity and force in this part.
A change in eyewall dynamics, such as the eyewall replacement cycle, can cause fluctuations in a hurricane's intensity. In some cases, a new, larger, more powerful eyewall may form, changing the hurricane's overall behavior.
God knows best
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