Jordan | The first case of atmospheric instability begins on Wednesday and continues in a variable manner for several days, accompanied by random thunderstorms

Arab Weather - The latest weather map outputs in "Arab Weather" indicate that the Kingdom will be affected by the first case of atmospheric instability starting next Wednesday, 10-30-2024, and will continue for several days.

Thunderstorms concentrated randomly in the south and east of the Kingdom on Wednesday and Thursday

According to the same weather maps, it is expected that there will be an opportunity during the daylight hours and until the evening of Wednesday and Thursday for thunderstorms to fall, God willing, randomly concentrated in the southern and eastern regions of the Kingdom. It is not unlikely that some of these showers will be heavy in narrow geographical areas and sufficient to form torrents and valleys to flow. Some of these showers will also be accompanied by active winds and hail showers.

Friday to Sunday...indications of the spread of the situation

Weather forecasters at "Arab Weather" said that according to weather indicators, the chance of the situation expanding and becoming more severe is high on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, as a result of the increase in cold air flow in the different layers of the atmosphere, coinciding with the presence of a Red Sea depression.

Unstable situations... random but dangerous and require preparation

The specialists at "Arab Weather" indicated that the nature of the atmospheric instability cases affecting the Kingdom is that they are accompanied by random rainfall, meaning that there is expected to be a variation in the location and intensity of rainfall and with large differences within small geographical areas, and this in itself becomes a dangerous factor as it leads to the valleys flowing significantly and forming what is called transferred torrents that move from one place to another without the condition of rainfall. The cases of atmospheric instability are also characterized by the rapid change of weather in very short periods, and these cases are accompanied by an increase in the chances of large hail and sudden and large wind activity. At times, dense dust belts form in desert areas before thunderstorms. It is expected, God willing, that the upcoming case will be concentrated primarily in the southern and eastern regions of the Kingdom, and the case requires attention and preparation.

14 day weather forecast from here

Important recommendations for dealing with the weather conditions as the first case of instability

It is recommended to prepare for these weather conditions as they can be dangerous in some circumstances. The recommendations include:

• Beware of flash floods and heavy valley flow.
• Beware of the formation of torrents, which means a large flow of torrents coming from distant areas to areas that are not necessarily exposed to rainfall.
• Be careful not to be in valleys and ravines and take precautions while picking olives.
• Beware of the risk of large hail in the south and east of the Kingdom.
• Beware of the danger of lightning and severe thunderstorms.
• Drive carefully for fear of slipping due to rain.
• Beware of dust waves, especially in desert areas, and their repercussions on driving on external roads or for patients with respiratory and eye diseases.

The scientific reason behind this weather condition

Experts at "Arab Weather" said that the scientific reason behind the expected state of instability in the Kingdom is due, God willing, to the approach of a relatively cold air mass across southeastern Europe, coinciding with the activity of the Red Sea depression and the presence of a warm air mass from the south across the Arabian Peninsula, as the thermal differences between the cold air mass from the north and the warm air mass from the south lead to large thermal differences between the upper and surface layers of the atmosphere, and the warm air present over the region begins to rise to the upper layers of the atmosphere and the process of forming cumulonimbus clouds begins in conjunction with the flow of tropical moisture accompanying the activity of the Red Sea depression, which will feed the layers of the atmosphere with sufficient moisture for the growth of thunderstorm cumulonimbus clouds.

Is the expected weather condition rare or normal in the Kingdom?

According to the archival data at the Arab Weather Center, the expected weather conditions are normal for this time of year, as the region is accustomed to receiving cases of instability in the fall, especially in October and November, as the region begins during this period to receive cold winds coming from Europe, coinciding with the presence of warm air masses to the south of the region, which allows for temperature differences and the formation of cases of atmospheric instability.

Returning to the climate archive of previous years, we recall an exceptional and strong weather condition that occurred in the Kingdom on 10/25/2018, which was a strong state of atmospheric instability, causing the formation of strong thunderclouds in many areas of the Kingdom, accompanied by heavy rains and heavy hail of large sizes, which caused damage to vehicles, and the formation of torrential floods in some areas, which caused the Dead Sea tragedy.