Jordan: The continued absence of the momentum of the usual winter depressions during the coming days, and an expected change in weather patterns at the end of the month (find out the details of the forecast for the coming weeks)

Arab Weather - The results of analyzes and computer simulation data for weather forecasts at the Arab Weather Center indicate that it is expected that the absence of winter depressions will continue in the Levant, including Jordan, and the continuation of the unusual pattern of weather conditions in the region during the next two weeks. The same air system, which was represented by the eruption of a series of weather conditions in different axes during the past weeks to the depth of the Egyptian lands, sometimes to the north-east of the Arabian Peninsula, and its interaction with a surface depression from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia called the Red Sea depression, at other times bringing rain to large parts of the Arabian Peninsula While its secondary consequences reached several parts of southern and eastern Jordan, thank God, the northern and central parts of the Kingdom were spared from the direct effects of these weather patterns, in a manner identical to what was stated in the seasonal weather forecast that was issued previously last month.

And the latest weather readings in the Arab Weather Center indicate that large parts of the Arab East are on a date when they will be affected by a new weather condition in the beginning and middle of next week (January 14-17), bringing rain to large parts of the Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia, while affected Jordan is experiencing unstable weather conditions, specifically on Monday 16-1-2023, accompanied by some precipitation, and at that time the chances of rain are concentrated again on the valley, and preceded by that, the far north of the Kingdom, this weekend, was affected by some precipitation, resulting from the presence of an air depression stationed far from the Kingdom. These two weather conditions, if they are cases of atmospheric instability or extensions of depressions centered far from the Kingdom, are unreliable by bringing abundant amounts of rain that improve the rainfall in the north and center of the Kingdom and its agricultural areas that suffer from both issues, while it adds to the distinguished rainy season in Southern Jordan and Badia regions.

And soon after that, that is, during the remainder of the next week and the beginning of the following week (16-1 and until 24-1), the distribution of weather patterns in the northern hemisphere does not appear to be in a better condition than before, as the outputs of computer simulations indicate the movement of masses and The weather systems lead to expectations that the regions of eastern Europe and western Russia will be affected by a solid air rise that cuts off the direction of cold and moist air masses to the eastern basin of the Mediterranean Sea, as this region extending from western Russia in the north to Turkey in the south is considered the main feeder, after God’s will, for the formation of depressions Winter weather in the eastern basin of the Mediterranean, at the expense of the exposure of western Europe and northwest Africa to very cold air masses supported by a strong air rise in all layers of the atmosphere in the Atlantic Ocean, which means that winter will finally smile at the Maghreb countries, Which also suffered this year from the weakness of the rainy season, while at the same time the regions of the Levant will be exposed to a significant rise in temperatures above their usual normal rates.

And specialists in the Arab Weather Center believe that despite this change, even if it is not positive for the Levant, there is a glimmer of hope from it for the return of winter depressions to the regions of the Levant later, as the deep ripple of air masses and their descent towards the Maghreb is only considered An indication that the weather patterns at the end of January will be redistributed in a large part of the northern hemisphere, which will naturally lead to the return of the behavior of the weather patterns to the usual winter behavior, and thus theoretically increase the chances of the return of winter depressions to the middle latitudes such as the countries Sham. And computer modeling for medium and long-term forecasts has recently sensed the return of the usual winter depressions to the Levant, including Jordan, by the end of this month and during the coming month of February, God willing, as indications increased that the region might be affected by a winter depression, which is believed to be classified at that time from degrees. And it will bring with it good amounts of rain, God willing, and temperatures will drop significantly and tangibly, and the weather will become colder than what will be the case during the coming days, in addition to the return of snowfall opportunities on the high mountains in the Levant, God willing.

The following are the forecast details, excerpted from the monthly bulletin previously issued by the Arab Weather Center for the next four weeks, God willing:

Second week (8-14 January) 2023:

• Precipitation: less than normal
• Temperature: Turn to colder than normal
• Flood chance: Medium
• Chance of Snow: None (except for a chance on the peaks of the Southern Highlands)
• Air systems description:

The Kingdom is affected by a new state of air instability on Monday, and the opportunity is ripe for showers of rain, God willing, from time to time in separate parts of the Kingdom, especially the east and south of the Kingdom, accompanied by the occurrence of thunder and hail at times. After that, the Kingdom is temporarily affected by an extension of the Siberian air high, so that cold, stable and awakening weather prevails, and later at the end of this week, it is expected that the Kingdom will be affected by a new air system represented by the approach of an air depression in the region, as a result of which chances of showers of rain will renew in some areas. .

Third week (15-21 January) 2023:

• Precipitation: less than normal
• Temperatures: around above average
• Flood chance: Medium.
• Snow chance: none
• Air systems description:

The Kingdom continues to be affected by the same weather patterns, represented by the extension of rapid depressions or cases of atmospheric instability, so that the chances of rain increase from time to time, and they are sometimes thundery. This is separated from the influence of the Kingdom by the extension of the air elevation

.

The fourth week and the rest of the month (22-31 January) 2023:

• Precipitation: about average
• Temperature: Turn to colder than normal
• Chance of floods: Medium
• Snow chance: Medium at high mountain elevations
• Air systems description:

The indicators for this week are mixed until the time of issuance of the bulletin, as the computer models for long-term forecasts suffer from a large fluctuation in expectations for several climatic reasons. And it is believed, God willing, that the rise in atmospheric pressure will gradually increase over regions of the European continent, which may contribute to the flow of cooler masses to the eastern Mediterranean Sea at the end of the period, so that Jordan and the Levant will be affected by an air depression (and it may be of an advanced classification) that brings with it Rain, God willing, for different regions with winter phenomena in general, and the weather before this activity is often generally stable.

First week (February 1-7) 2023:

• Rainfall: about average
• Temperature: Turn to below average
• Chance of floods: Medium
• Snow chance: Low
• Air systems description:

The Kingdom continues to be affected at the beginning of the week by the aforementioned depression (which may have an advanced classification), provided that the atmosphere in the region stabilizes after that, and the influence of the so-called Siberian high air extends, which usually brings stable atmospheres, but it is cold to very cold with Possibility of frost formation on many nights. During the last days of this period, the chance of the Kingdom being affected by a depression and a new cold air mass that brings rain to many parts of the Kingdom increases.

We ask God to give us rain and not make us despondent