Jordan/Fall 2024: Temperature fluctuations and monitoring of chances of scattered rain events that may be extreme at times, especially in the second half of fall

Arab Weather - The weather forecast cadre issued the special climate forecasts in Jordan for the next three months (October, November and December) for the year 2024, in a regular monthly update under the name "Seasonal Weather Bulletin", noting that the method of preparing these weather bulletins differs from other daily weather bulletins in that they are devoid of precise details, and their aim is to give a general picture of the season. The aim of listing the forecasts is also to provide an initial idea of the expected temperatures and rainfall, as well as the most prominent expected climate phenomena.

The most prominent expected weather phenomena:

General situation:

• The Kingdom is expected to witness temperature fluctuations in October.
• Warmer periods prevail in November, with chances of unstable conditions concentrated in the desert areas.
• Weather conditions improve in December and there is a higher chance of the Kingdom being affected by cold air depressions.

Detailed weather conditions:

First month (October) 2024:

• Rain

About the rate.
Temperatures

• About a little above average.

Description of air systems

During this period, an atmospheric system is expected to prevail in the northern hemisphere, represented by the activity of the Icelandic depression over parts of the north and northwest of the European continent and the rush of cold basins towards this information is available to subscribers via the distinguished package on the Arab Weather website and application from here

Second month (November) 2024:

• Rain

About rates on the desert.

• Temperatures

About above average.

Description of air systems

During this period, it is expected that the air depressions will be active in the north of the European continent due to the transformation of the Arctic Oscillation into the positive phase. Therefore, we expect warmer than usual temperatures to prevail this month due to the tropical high extending at intervals of about... This information is available to subscribers via the distinguished package on the Arab Weather website and application from here.

The third month (December) 2024:

• Rain

About the rate.

• Temperatures

About the rate.

Description of air systems

This month, atmospheric pressure is expected to rise in important parts of western and central Europe for important periods of the month, resulting in cold air masses rushing from northeastern Europe towards western Turkey and the Balkan countries, and it is not unlikely that cold air depressions will form in the axis of this information is available to subscribers via the distinguished package on the Arab Weather website and application from here.

Climate situation (for specialists and interested parties):

This year, the Polar Vortex is experiencing an unusual situation, with an unusual weakness in the Polar Vortex system and a significant rise in temperatures above the usual average during the month of September. This is evident from climate models monitoring the presence of a high heat flow, which means that there is a large flow of energy from the lower to the upper regions of the atmosphere in the form of waves. This heat flow, although it occurs at high altitudes from the Earth's surface, has a great impact on changing the prevailing weather patterns on the Earth's surface and may play an important role in the future of the Northern Hemisphere's weather during the upcoming rainy season, God willing.

This unusual and early weakness in the polar vortex has been repeated in some past years during the climate archive extending for nearly 50 years, and what is striking is that its early weakness in those years was statistically linked.. Details are available to subscribers via the premium package on the Arab Weather website and application from here.