Saudi Arabia / Summer 2024 forecasts | Rainfall higher than average in several areas and wet waves at intervals

Weather of Arabia - Sinan Khalaf - The latest long-range weather analyzes related to weather forecasts during the summer season of this year 2024 AD show a possible deviation in rain rates to be higher than their usual rates throughout the southern parts of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, especially the southwestern parts of it.

Weak start of monsoon rains

Thunderstorms and rain are expected at intervals, but below average

Although overall weather forecasts indicate that seasonal rains in the summer of 2024 will be higher than their usual rates, this will not apply to the month of June, as cumulonimbus thunderstorm clouds are expected to multiply on the mountainous highlands in the southwest of the Kingdom, accompanied by periodic thunderstorms. , but it will be below its usual rates.

Temperatures reaching 50 this summer (details for subscribers to the premium package here)

The ITCZ begins to push northwards

More severe and heavy thunderstorms and rain in unusual areas starting in July

As we enter the month of July 2024, it is expected that the high atmospheric pressure will be concentrated in the northern regions of the Arabian Peninsula for most of the month, which will allow waves of moisture to flow to the southern parts of the Arabian Peninsula, as a result of the advance of the imaginary tropical separator (ITCZ), which will be reflected on the ground. Increasing and increasing chances of thunderstorms in Yemen and south and southwest Saudi Arabia, accompanied by rainfall of varying intensity, accompanied by thunderstorms and falling papyrus, which increases the possibility of torrential rains.

It is not unlikely that cumulus rain clouds will extend to some coastal areas of the southwest and west of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia if conditions are created for that.

There are also increasing indications that parts of the southern Arabian Peninsula will be affected in some periods by an extension of the monsoon depression/eastern wave that leads to rain in areas that are not accustomed to receiving rain during the summer, but this needs to be followed up within the scope of the near and medium period.

Monsoon rains peak in August

Eastern waves and sometimes heavy thunderstorms, higher than average in these areas

The extension of the tropical belt ITCZ reaches its peak in the atmosphere of the Arabian Peninsula, which leads to higher than average rainfall rates throughout many regions of the south and southwest of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, in addition to parts of the Sultanate of Oman and the Emirates, especially the mountainous highlands and neighboring regions. . The chances of the southern Arabian Peninsula, including parts of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman, and the Emirates, also being affected on some days by an extension of the monsoon depression/eastern wave leading to rain. It is not usual to receive rain during the summer, but this needs to be followed up within the scope of the near period. And the average.