Saudi Arabia | Arabia Weather issues seasonal forecasts for the summer of 2024 AD... Details

Arabia Weather - Sinan Khalaf - The weather forecast team at the Arab Regional Weather Center recently issued long-range weather forecasts for the summer season of this year, 2024 AD, and includes preliminary temperature forecasts, rain forecasts, and their deviations from their rates for the months (June, July, and August) As follows:

Aerial maps

The most important expected weather phenomena

Expected distribution of weather systems

Rainfall deviation from general averages

Temperature deviation from general averages

General situation:

• The heat in various parts of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia gradually increases during the summer.
• Extremely hot weather, with expectations that the maximum will record scorching temperatures approaching 50 degrees Celsius and perhaps exceeding that on some days in parts of the Eastern Province, Riyadh, Medina, and Makkah Al-Mukarramah.
• The possibility of wet flows in the southern Arabian Peninsula, specifically in July and August, is being closely monitored, causing waves of rain in some periods.
• Rainfall is higher than average in southwestern Saudi Arabia, especially in July and August.
• Bawarih winds are active in some periods (northwest) and sometimes cause heavy dust waves in the affected countries.
• There are no indications, as of the time of issuing the bulletin, that a tropical state has formed in the Arabian Sea, but this needs to be followed up within the near and medium framework.
• It is not unlikely that some days of the summer will witness areas that are not accustomed to receiving rainfall in the summer, in addition to some other Gulf capitals.

Special weather condition for each month

First month: June 2024

General situation: The subtropical high in the upper atmosphere over the peninsula gradually intensifies during the month, leading to a continuous rise in temperatures, and the thermal depressions deepen in eastern Saudi Arabia, which leads to temperatures being warmer than their usual levels. In many parts of the Arabian Peninsula and the Gulf states, the Bawarih winds are active at several periods of the month and lead to dust storms that lead to a significant decrease in horizontal visibility. Cumulus clouds will also be active, God willing, over southwest Saudi Arabia and western Yemen, but they will be less than usual.

Second month: July 2024

General situation: It is expected that the high air pressure will be concentrated in the high layers of the atmosphere over the northern regions of the Arabian Peninsula for most of the month, and this will lead to:

• Temperatures are much warmer in many regions of the north, northeast, and center of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, while they are lower than usual in the southern regions of the Arabian Peninsula.
• Weaker than usual wind activity in Al-Bawareh, despite expectations that it will occur at periods of the month.
• Monitoring the flow of waves of moisture to the southern parts of the Arabian Peninsula as a result of the advance of the imaginary tropical separator (ITCZ), which increases the chances of thunderstorms over Yemen, south and southwest Saudi Arabia, and the mountainous highlands of the Sultanate of Oman and the Emirates, and is accompanied by rainfall of varying intensity, accompanied by thunderstorms and precipitation. Papyrus, which increases the possibility of floods.
• It is not unlikely that cumulus rain clouds will extend to some coastal areas of the southwest and west of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia if conditions are created for that.
• There are chances that the south of the Arabian Peninsula will be affected in some periods by an extension of the monsoon depression/eastern wave that leads to rain in areas that are not accustomed to receiving rain during the summer, but this needs to be monitored within the scope of the near and medium period.

Third month: August 2024

General situation: The extension of the tropical belt ITCZ ​​reaches its peak in the atmosphere of the Arabian Peninsula, which leads to higher than average rainfall rates throughout many regions of the south and southwest of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, in addition to parts of the Sultanate of Oman and the Emirates, especially the mountainous highlands. And neighboring areas. The chances of the southern Arabian Peninsula, including parts of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman, and the Emirates, also being affected on some days by an extension of the monsoon depression/eastern wave leading to rain. It is not usual to receive rain during the summer, but this needs to be monitored within the scope of the near period. And the average.

God knows.