The temperature of the Atlantic Ocean is rising... and experts expect a very active and higher-than-average hurricane season. When will it start?

Arabia Weather - After following up on the latest computer modeling outputs regarding the deviation of the temperature of water bodies from averages, specialists at the Arab Weather Regional Center said that the surface temperature of the waters of the Atlantic Ocean, specifically near the coasts of the Americas and the Gulf of Mexico, is witnessing a clear rise above natural rates, as it has risen above its averages by an amount ranging between One to two degrees, which means that the temperature in these areas ranges between 27 and 30 degrees Celsius, with a further rise likely in the coming period. Does this portend a higher than usual hurricane season, and what is La Nina’s connection to the rise in the surface temperature of the waters of the Atlantic Ocean?

Arab weather experts: The rise in the surface temperature of the Atlantic waters serves as fuel that heralds tropical conditions of higher intensity and activity than usual.

After conducting a climate study, Arab Weather Center experts explained that this rise in the surface temperature of the waters of the Atlantic Ocean injects the atmosphere with large quantities of water vapor and latent thermal energy, which serve as fuel that fuels tropical conditions (cyclones), and this may herald more activity and higher intensity of tropical cyclones over the course of the year. The Americas during the hurricane activity season, which climatically begins in early June and continues until the end of November and is at its peak between mid-August and mid-August. This does not mean that there is no possibility of tropical activity in another period of the year, but the previous period is considered a peak. Tropical states activity in the Atlantic Ocean.

How do hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin?

There are usually two main mechanisms for the formation of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean:

• The first is when bundles of cumulonimbus thunderclouds move from the African continent towards the surface of the warm ocean waters. The thunderclouds begin to feed on the latent thermal energy and water vapor that is produced from the surface of the ocean waters. Then the clouds grow vertically and multiply additionally, and the atmospheric pressure decreases until the winds begin to rotate at high speeds. High around the center of the cumulus clouds and then the final stages of a tropical cyclone officially forming.

• The other mechanism for the formation of tropical cyclones is as a result of the temperature of the water body rising to more than 26 degrees Celsius, then water vapor begins to rise towards the upper layers of the atmosphere, cools and condenses, and then cumulonimbus clouds begin to grow and develop until they become very high, feeding on the warmth of the water surface and the vapors emitted as the air density decreases. The air pressure decreases to reach hurricane values, then the winds rotate regularly and at high speed around the center of low air pressure, announcing the formation of a hurricane.

Scientifically: La Nina is associated with a higher-than-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean

Specialists at the Arabia Weather Center said that there is a new climate cycle that has begun to appear in the waters of the Pacific Ocean, which is an increase in the climate phenomenon (La Nina), which may continue in the coming months. The La Nina phenomenon is linked, statistically and climatically, to a stronger and more intense hurricane season than usual as a result of the change that... It occurs in the movement of warm ocean currents, which are considered the primary feeder and fuel for any tropical activity around the world.

God knows.