A year after the Morocco earthquake.. Is artificial intelligence the solution to predicting major earthquakes?

Written By ندى ماهر عبدربه on 2024/09/08

This article was written originally in Arabic and is translated using a 3rd party automated service. ArabiaWeather is not responsible for any grammatical errors whatsoever.

Arab Weather - A year ago, the Al Haouz region earthquake in Morocco left behind massive destruction, killing about three thousand people. Since the beginning of this century, more than 800 thousand people have died as a result of major earthquakes and their aftershocks, such as tsunamis.

For these reasons and many others, experts wondered:

Can these human losses be avoided by predicting earthquakes in advance?

Despite the many technical attempts, the hope currently lies in artificial intelligence. But are we close to achieving this goal?

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Artificial Intelligence and Earthquake Prediction

Although AI-based earthquake prediction systems are still in their early stages, they have shown promising results. They have helped improve prediction ability compared to traditional methods. For example, Dutch geologist Frank Hoogerbeets has caused controversy with his earthquake predictions on Twitter. Although experts doubt the accuracy of these predictions, there is a possibility that he has benefited from AI techniques in making his predictions.

Earthquake prediction, a branch of seismology, aims to pinpoint the exact time, location, and magnitude of earthquakes. Over the decades, scientists have experimented with techniques such as observing unusual animal behavior, measuring changes in groundwater levels, and other methods. But those methods have not proven accurate enough to predict earthquakes. Some researchers believe that artificial intelligence could hold the key to the future of this field.

AI techniques rely on analyzing massive amounts of data to uncover hidden patterns that may precede earthquakes. Algorithms can analyze seismic activity, electromagnetic changes, and groundwater changes to help predict earthquakes. Using AI to analyze this data enhances the ability to accurately predict, and can also help track the development of seismic stress that may lead to an earthquake.

Machine learning and improved prediction

Machine learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, is used to analyze large amounts of seismic data. Some studies have shown that machine learning algorithms can detect seismic patterns that signal earthquakes, improving forecasting. Research has also suggested that combining machine learning with physical models can improve the accuracy of predictions.

Artificial intelligence is making tremendous progress in earthquake prediction, and as these technologies develop, they are expected to help reduce human and material losses. But despite the great progress, the biggest challenge remains the accuracy of prediction, especially for large and rare earthquakes.

See also:

What are the geological causes that led to the Morocco earthquake?

Comparison between the recent earthquake that struck Morocco and the 1960 earthquake.. Which is stronger?


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This article was written originally in Arabic and is translated using a 3rd party automated service. ArabiaWeather is not responsible for any grammatical errors whatsoever.


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