Indications of polar winds approaching the eastern Mediterranean for the first time this season next week (details)
Arab Weather - Weather maps indicate that a huge polar air mass is rushing towards Europe, causing a sharp drop in temperatures and heavy snowfall. Despite the distance of this mass from the eastern Mediterranean basin, numerical models indicate the possibility of its impact reaching the region, and it may result in a cold wave leading to a sharp drop in temperatures and frost in some areas, especially if the mass takes a dry continental path.
What is the impact of the polar wave affecting Europe on the countries of the eastern Mediterranean basin?
Meteorologists said that the polar air mass is hundreds of thousands of kilometers away from the eastern basin of the Mediterranean Sea, but medium-term indicators from computer modeling at the Arab Weather Center indicate that the shape of the weather system may take another turn at the beginning and middle of next week, as the Azores high expands towards southwest Europe, which may cause the polar air mass to move towards eastern Europe and Turkey.
Numerical models suggest that the air mass will move along a continental path and remain over the region for several days.
According to many numerical weather models provided by the Arab Weather Center, including the outputs of the European Numerical Model (ECMWF), the cold mass may head directly towards eastern Turkey, which means that it will have taken a dry continental path away from marine influences, and thus its effects on the Levant will be in the form of a strong cold wave that leads to a sharp drop in temperatures and increases the chances of the region being exposed to frost and freezing in the dawn and morning hours, especially in the plains and desert areas if the cold wave precedes any rainfall.
In this scenario, dry easterly winds are active, which greatly increases the feeling of cold, which requires wearing heavy winter clothes and using heating devices.
The numerical model developed by the Arab Weather Center (WRF), which provides more accurate and detailed weather forecast outputs, indicates that the polar air mass will take a dry continental path and remain over the region for several days. However, it should be noted that the time period is still far away, which makes the accuracy of weather forecasts less accurate and subject to significant change. It is important to emphasize that the arrival of a cold air mass to the region does not necessarily mean a low pressure system and rain. In previous cases, cold air masses have reached the region, resulting in cold waves and frost, because this depends on the path taken by the air mass.
And God knows best.
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