important | Storm Shaheen is getting stronger and approaching the degree of hurricane, and the Sultanate and the Emirates are within the circle of influence
Arab Weather - Sinan Khalaf - The weather forecast staff at the Arab Regional Weather Center continues around the clock, following up on the latest developments of tropical storm Shaheen in the Arabian Sea, where the latest outputs of computer simulation systems indicate the availability of a number of factors that may support the development of the tropical situation Shaheen. From a tropical storm to a Category 1 tropical cyclone.
Tropical Storm Shaheen is gaining more energy
Important factors that may support the development of Tropical Storm Shaheen into a Category 1 hurricane
- That the significant warming, “increasing surface water temperature” in the northern Arabian Sea and the Oman Sea region between India and the Sultanate of Oman, passing through the coasts of Pakistan, may support the development of the tropical system from a tropical storm to a first-class cyclone during the next 36 hours,
- Another positive point cannot be overlooked, which is the absence of shear winds, which are considered the primary destroyer of tropical systems in the Arabian Sea, and their absence in this case, with sufficient warming, will allow the tropical system to develop significantly and rapidly.
All eyes are on the Sultanate of Oman, the UAE, and the Empty Quarter
The possible paths and effects of the tropical situation on the countries of the region
The numerical models agree that the tropical situation will move directly towards the Sultanate of Oman, specifically the eastern coasts, where the numerical models agree that tropical storm Shaheen will hit hard all of the Omani coasts overlooking the Sea of Oman, from Ras Al Hadd to the state of Shinas, bringing with it strong winds and heavy rains. , to move quickly towards the interior parts of the Sultanate,
Although these models agreed on the direct effects of the tropical state of Shaheen on the Sultanate of Oman, they differed in their impact on the oppressive countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, some of them suggested that the storm would move later towards the Emirates, maintaining a large part of its strength, which means that large parts of the Omani interior were exposed. In addition to large areas of the Emirates, heavy rain and strong winds. Then it moves towards Saudi lands and the Empty Quarter, while other models have suggested that the storm will move towards the Arabian Gulf after its impact on the UAE to affect Qatar, which is considered very rare if it is achieved on the ground.
Arab Weather notes that these paths are possible and it is not possible to be certain of any of them due to the large number of variables in the air system, and Arab Weather will follow up continuously and issue the necessary reports and updates via the application or website according to the latest developments.
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