From the Arabia Weather Center - Computer modeling developed at the Arab Regional Weather Center monitors a striking change in the shape of the weather system in the region gradually during the month of July, and specialists at the Arabia Weather Center are closely following the consequences of this change, but the numerical models and more talk about Those for medium-term forecasts have begun to indicate a significant increase in rainfall in several parts of the southern Arabian Peninsula, especially the southwestern and western regions of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the mountainous highlands of the Sultanate of Oman and the Emirates, i.e. those areas that are accustomed to receiving rainfall during the summer months.
These weather forecasts are identical to what was stated in the seasonal weather forecast for the summer season that was issued in mid-May, as the results of climate models sensed expectations that a remarkable incursion of what is known as the Illusory Tropical Belt (ITCZ) to the north will occur gradually more than usual during the coming weeks. Most clearly shortly after mid-July, this belt is accompanied by very humid air masses rising from tropical regions, or what is scientifically called an atmospheric river.
According to the results of meteorological analyzes conducted by Arab weather specialists, the chances of rain are expected to increase gradually over parts of the southern Arabian Peninsula as the month of July passes, with the possibility that the southwestern regions of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, especially the second half of the month, will be exposed to waves of rain. Humidity leads to heavy rains, leading to massive flow into valleys and reefs.
In a related context, it is not unlikely that some cumulus clouds will extend to parts of the highlands of western Saudi Arabia, including the highlands of Mecca and the Holy Capital, on some days.
Weather forecasters at the Arabia Weather Center expect that conditions will be ripe for thunderclouds that form on the highlands in the afternoon hours to rush later in the day towards the west to include parts of Tihama and some of the coasts, as a result of the control of what is known as the eastern winds, which are easterly winds. In the high and middle layers of the atmosphere, it controls the path of rain clouds.
Naturally, thunderstorms are expected to include many parts of Yemen and the highlands of the Hajar Mountains in the Sultanate of Oman, as well as the eastern highlands of the Emirates. It is not unlikely that thunderclouds will extend to parts of the interior regions of the country, and some impacts will also affect parts of the coasts, either in the form of Some rainfall or falling winds resulting from thunderclouds, and this requires further follow-up, of course, as the time period approaches, if they occur.
Find out the detailed weather conditions in the Kingdom during the next 5 days
With the increase of these indications about the occurrence of moisture flows in the southern regions of the Arabian Peninsula in particular, the specialists indicated that the same data at the Arabian Weather Center indicate that in such weather conditions, what is known as the eastern jet stream leads to the displacement of the air high in the high layers of the atmosphere. To the north and northeast of the Arabian Peninsula, which leads to temperatures warmer than usual in many areas of the north, north-central and east of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and the continued occurrence of heat waves in those areas.
This does not prevent the fact that conditions may be prepared during the months of July and August for the proliferation of some thunderclouds and their extension on some days to separate parts of the center and east of the Kingdom, leading to scattered rains and active downward winds that cause dust and dust to be stirred up.
The Arabian Weather Center will issue more reports, God willing, in the coming days about possible wet waves on the Arabian Peninsula during the coming weeks. You can also view the details of seasonal forecasts for the Arabian Gulf countries by clicking here.
God knows.
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