Arab weather - the latest outputs of numerical weather models indicate that Iraq is gradually affected on Saturday, especially in the afternoon hours, by a state of atmospheric instability, where clouds appear at different heights and the opportunity is created for rain showers to fall on random areas, sometimes accompanied by thunder.
And with the hours of the evening and night of Saturday / Sunday and dawn of Sunday, the impact of unstable weather conditions increases, as showers of rain fall on random and wide areas of Iraq, including the capital, Baghdad. The opportunity for showers of snow over the tops of the northern highlands, accumulating according to the intensity and continuity of precipitation.
It is expected, God willing, to cross Iraq from the hours of Sunday morning and during the rest of the day the cold air mass in the upper layers of the atmosphere, as the country enters under the influence of unstable weather conditions that extend from Sunday morning until evening hours, then it will be concentrated in the northern and western regions, where the amounts of clouds decrease Gradually over the southern and central regions, and its intensity increases in the northern regions, and heavy rains fall on most of the northern regions, including Erbil and Mosul, accompanied by heavy showers of hail sometimes and thunder may occur over some areas, and snow falls in the towering northeastern peaks.
"It is also not excluded that scattered thunder clouds will form in the rest of the central and southern regions during the peak period."
Looking at what is indicated by the outputs of the processed numerical models, it is expected that strong cumulus clouds will form over the northern regions during the peak period of the impact of unstable weather conditions, which will lead to large amounts of rain in a short period of time, which means a high risk of torrential torrents and possibly floods.
It is expected, God willing, that there will be a gradual decline in the frequency of the unstable weather conditions on the evening and night of Saturday/Sunday, so that showers of rain fall on random areas, their intensity decreasing over time.
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God knows.
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