Arab Weather - The latest global weather forecasts issued recently in August regarding the Southern Pacific Oscillation indicate the continuation of the neutral phase in the Pacific Ocean, with indicators continuing to develop the La Niña phenomenon during the fall with a probability of 66% and its continuation during the winter in the Northern Hemisphere with a probability of 74% during the months of November through January.
The latest data indicates that neutral conditions are most likely next season during July and September, with a greater than 80 percent chance of La Niña developing by September and November.
Weather forecasters at the Arab Weather Center said that the change in the temperature of the Pacific Ocean waters would impose significant changes on the tropical atmosphere there, which could cause significant shifts in the jet stream, which could bring extreme weather phenomena, including floods and higher than usual rainfall in certain areas, and drought and heat waves in other areas.
The latest global model outputs indicate that last month witnessed temperatures close to average in most parts of the tropical Pacific Ocean, while below-average temperatures were recorded in the ocean and at a depth of 300 meters. The coldness of this region is expected to be an important driver for the development of the La Niña phenomenon later this year. However, despite this, it is not possible to be certain at this time what will happen during the last season in light of the slow development of the La Niña phenomenon, although statistical expectations indicate that it is associated with extreme weather in some areas around the world and the extension of the Siberian high towards the Arab regions.
Other topics:
Arabia Weather App
Download the app to receive weather notifications and more..