Weather Arabs - were recorded in the past few days, a series of earthquakes in the volcano Oskja "Askja" , located in the eastern volcanic belt in Iceland, where it was recorded more than 600 earthquake in less than a week!
The Askja volcano was famous for its great eruption on March 29, 1875. It released large quantities of ash and smoke that were then sent by the wind to Scandinavia and even central Europe.
The last eruption of Eskja was in 1961, much smaller than the great eruption of 1875.
On November 6, a series of earthquakes began on the eastern side of the volcano. The numbers were initially low, but they started to increase daily, along with the magnitude of the earthquake. Two earthquakes larger than a cubic meter have so far been recorded.
Looking at the last two weeks, a steady increase in earthquake activity can be seen, in conjunction with an increase in strength and numbers, and possibly reaching a slightly greater depth.
More than 600 earthquakes were recorded as of November 12 in less than one week! The strongest was 3.4
.
This earthquake series seems to be due to widespread tectonic activity under Iceland, so it is not impossible if this series of earthquakes caused by the activity will eventually turn into a massive volcanic eruption, especially if the volcano's situation is sufficiently unstable.
There are currently no signs of an imminent eruption in the volcano Oskja Askja. But if we imagine a hypothetical scenario that the Askga volcano will start an explosive revolution tomorrow, what does that mean for Europe?
Severe Weather Europe has simulated NOAA Hysplit , a hypothetical scenario that the volcano will erupt tomorrow at 00 GMT.
The simulation shows how far the ash cloud from the volcano will travel within 5 days (120 hours), if it will reach an altitude of 10 km, because most of the air traffic falls around this altitude.
The simulation uses weather forecast data to calculate the high altitude wind and where the ash cloud from the volcano will be carried.
It is very clear that most of the fine ash particles will be transported directly across Western Europe, moving back to Central Europe and even Scandinavia. This would completely stop air traffic in Europe, which could cause significant economic damage, perhaps similar to the events of 2010, when the Eyjafjallajokull volcano erupted.
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