In numbers: High chances of the formation of the first tropical condition in the second seasonal disturbance period in the Arabian Sea by the end of this week.

Arabia Weather - The latest weather readings issued by the Regional Arabia Weather Center indicate that a large mass of cumulonimbus clouds is currently being monitored in the southeast of the Arabian Sea, with a high probability shown by computer forecast maps of the possibility of it developing into an area of low atmospheric pressure during the next 48 hours.

The same weather readings suggest that the prevailing weather conditions in the Arabian Sea will lead - God willing - to the continued development of the weather system, forming the first tropical condition in the Arabian Sea in the second turbulent season at the end of this week.

The surface waters in the Arabian Sea are witnessing a rise in temperature above their usual levels - as hot water is considered the fuel that operates these tropical systems, and there is a decline in the summer monsoon winds in most parts of the Arabian Sea, which gives a good indication that the tropical state will find a suitable environment. Wind shear and thus the evolution of the orbital state.

On the other hand, it is difficult to predict the path of the expected tropical condition and its severity from now before it forms on the ground. However, the initial indicators, which are the relative distance of the upper air high over the southern Arabian Peninsula, in addition to the activity of the eastern ones in the high layers of the atmosphere, give a relative advantage to the direction of the condition. The west and northwest tropics are yet to be formed, but this is still within the scope of preliminary indicators and requires further follow-up. “Arab Weather” will provide followers with detailed forecasts as soon as weather information is available and stable, God willing.