Fall 2023 forecasts in the Arabian Gulf | An active, rainy fall, and a number of tropical weather conditions are being monitored in the Arabian Sea

Arabia Weather - The long-range weather forecast team issued the seasonal bulletin for the fall semester of 2023 in Jordan. The issuance of these forecasts depends on studying the behavior of temperature and atmospheric pressure in the northern hemisphere, including the atmosphere and major bodies of water, and integrating those forecasts with monitoring centers. Global, to produce the highest possible forecast accuracy.

Aerial maps

The most important expected weather phenomena

Temperature deviation from general averages

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General situation

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1. A gradual increase in the frequency of rain and the formation of atmospheric instability, God willing, in various regions of the Arabian Peninsula.
2. The chances of flooding are good and higher than usual this fall, especially in November and December.
3. Thunderclouds are expected to be accompanied by active winds and strong storms in some areas.
4. Monitoring the formation of 3-4 tropical weather conditions in the Arabian Sea that may affect some Arab countries (daily monitoring is required and the details cannot be confirmed now).
5. Warm periods are expected and temperatures are higher than usual levels in most regions.

Weather conditions for each month

First month: October 2023

Temperature: above average.

Rain

Western Yemen and northern Iraq: higher than average and the chance of flash floods is high.

Western Saudi Arabia: Thunderstorms of varying intensity around average.

Rest of the regions: No significant rain.

Description of the month

• It is expected that the influence of the tropical high and the Indian low on the atmosphere of the Arabian Peninsula will gradually decline, which will open the way for the formation of autumn weather conditions in different regions, as it is not excluded that some of the upper air basins will extend, which will work on the activity of the Red Sea depression over western Saudi Arabia, which will Cumulus clouds form and scattered showers of rain fall, sometimes accompanied by thunder and active winds.
• Weather conditions are more active in northern Iraq, where torrents are not excluded.
• In general, the temperature will be higher than normal levels in varying degrees in most regions.
• As for the Arabian Sea, it is expected that the chances of tropical weather conditions will increase, which may affect the southern Arabian Peninsula, but the severity and extent of the impact cannot be confirmed from now.

Second month: November 2023

the heat

Southern Saudi Arabia, Yemen and the Sultanate of Oman: above average.

Rest of the regions: about average.

Rain

Western, central, northern and eastern Saudi Arabia (including the city of Jeddah), Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the Emirates, and the coasts of the Arabian Sea: higher than average, thundershowers of varying intensity, chances of flash floods are possible, and it is feared that torrential floods will form in northeastern Iraq.

Rest of the regions: around average, rain showers of varying intensity that may be accompanied by thunder at times.

Description of the month

• It is expected that atmospheric pressure will rise over the central Mediterranean Sea, and some cold air masses and air depressions in the high atmosphere will push towards southeastern European continent and the Caspian Sea.
• This will lead to active weather conditions on the Arabian Peninsula, God willing, so the Red Sea depression will be active over large areas, cumulonimbus clouds will multiply, and showers of varying intensity of rain will fall that may be thunderous at times, which will increase the chances of torrents forming and the flow of valleys, in addition to the activity of exciting surface winds. For dust.
• As for the Arabian Sea, it is expected that the chances of tropical weather conditions will increase further, which may affect .... This information is available to subscribers through the distinguished package on the Arabia Weather website and application from here .
• Temperatures also remain higher than normal in most areas.

Third month: December 2023

the heat

Southern Saudi Arabia and Yemen: above average.

Rest of the regions: about average.

Rain

Western, central and eastern Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, parts of the Emirates and the coasts of the Sultanate of Oman: This information is available to subscribers through the special package on the Arab Weather website and application from here.

Rest of the regions: around average, rain showers of varying intensity.

Description of the month

• Some cold upper basins continue to push towards the Arabian Peninsula from the northwest (the eastern basin of the Mediterranean) as well as through Turkey and Iran.
• This results in the formation of surface air depressions and the emergence of frontal air instability, which increases the chances of thunderstorms and hail showers and thus increases the possibility of floods and valley flow, God willing.
• As for the Arabian Sea, it is expected that chances of tropical weather conditions will continue, which may affect ... This information is available to subscribers through the premium package on the Arabia Weather website and application from here.

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