Climate reading: Will the summer of 2024 be as rainy over large parts of the Arabian Peninsula as the summer of 2022?

From the Arab Weather Center - The weather forecast staff at the Arab Weather Center issued seasonal weather forecasts for the summer of 2024 for the entire Arab world, including the Arabian Peninsula. Noting that the method of preparing these weather bulletins differs from other daily weather bulletins, as they are devoid of precise details and their goal is to take a general picture of the season. These long-range weather bulletins are also subject to updating and change if necessary, so that The goal of listing the forecasts is to get an initial idea of the expected temperature and rain.

The specialists at the Arabia Weather Center said that the seasonal indicators indicate that what is known as the Tropical Belt (ITCZ), which is an imaginary belt that accompanies humid air masses, is expected to be more advanced than usual into the interior of the Arabian Peninsula, specifically in the periods of July and August. This belt, if combined with other suitable weather conditions, causes waves of humidity that lead to intensification of thunderstorms in the resorts of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the mountains of the Emirates, the Sultanate of Oman, and Yemen, which leads to an increase in the chances of floods occurring in these areas.

These weather forecasts bring back memories of the summer of 2022, as well as the summer of 2021, during which the Arabian Peninsula witnessed summer rains significantly higher than usual, and rain even fell in areas that rarely receive rain during the summer. Regarding whether the conditions will be repeated during the coming summer, the specialists at the Arabia Weather Center confirmed that this requires monitoring weather conditions in the short and medium term, but the initial indicators are promising, God willing.