Climate reading: Monitoring a change in the Indian Ocean dipole coefficient and its trend towards neutral values in the coming months

From the Arab Weather Center - Climate models predict a slight continuation of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) during November, which means that temperatures will rise in the eastern part of the Indian Ocean and less than in the western part, leading to the dominance of western winds and a weak extension of moisture to the Arabian Peninsula region, at the expense of its concentration in the regions of Southeast Asia and Australia.

The coefficient is expected to move towards positive values in the coming months.

The same climate forecasts at the Arab Weather Center indicate that the Indian Ocean dipole coefficient is expected to move towards neutral values during the coming months, such that there will be no significant difference in sea surface temperatures between the eastern and western parts of the Indian Ocean, without a noticeable extremism towards drought.

The specialists at the Arab Weather Center are optimistic that this change during the winter in the values of the Indian Ocean coefficient, if it coincides with the deepening of the cold upper basins from the north, will lead, God willing, to the occurrence of rainy conditions in parts of the Arabian Peninsula during different periods of the coming months.

It is worth noting that the Arabian Peninsula has not been affected by comprehensive rainy weather conditions since the beginning of the Wasm season in mid-October until now, with no close or medium indications in the weather maps that it will be affected by extensive rainy conditions during the next 10 days. We ask God to give us rain and not make us among the despairing.