Arabia Weather - M. Nasser Haddad - Most monitoring centers and international agencies, including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ), indicate the possibility (with a rate of 66%) of the continuation of the weak El Niño phenomenon during the coming months, and it may continue as well during the fall of 2019.
According to the following map attached from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ), it indicates that the El Nino phenomenon will continue weakly during the coming months.
The global El Nino phenomenon is statistically linked to fertile seasons on the Arabian Peninsula, with a rate ranging between 60-75%, and indirectly to the Levant, where the rainy seasons are characterized by a good distribution of rain, in addition to the closeness of the amounts of rain to the annual rates.
The following attached map indicates a deviation of the rainfall amounts from their general rates during the last rainy season 2018-2019, as most regions of the Arabian Peninsula and the Levant achieved their general rates, and even exceeded them in many regions.
Given the vast size of the Pacific Ocean, which is the largest body of water on the planet, the water temperature in it, including the temperature of the equatorial region, plays a prominent role in controlling the atmosphere (directly and indirectly), especially in the northern half of the earth.
Arab weather indicates that the El Niño phenomenon is not the only cause of all weather phenomena in the world, but rather an atmospheric variable that contributes among dozens of other variables in the weather, perhaps the most important of which is the surface temperature of the waters of the northern half of the Atlantic Ocean ( AMO ) and the movement of occasional air currents in the stratosphere ( QBO ), and many other weather factors.
This means that the weather is the result of all weather factors and phenomena, and is not exclusive and the result of a single weather phenomenon.
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