Jordan - Seasonal Bulletin | The delay of the rainy momentum and the winter conditions to February (the fifties of winter) preceded by the activity of the Siberian high air and the cases of atmospheric instability

Arab Weather - Arab Weather provides you with the expected seasonal weather forecast during the months of January, February and March (1-2-3) for the year 2022/2023

December 2022 issue .

The issuance of these forecasts depends on studying the behavior of temperature and atmospheric pressure in the northern hemisphere, including the atmosphere and large water bodies, and merging those forecasts with global monitoring centers, to come out with the highest possible accuracy of forecasts.

Arab weather experts in the Scientific Research and Development Department developed scientific methods that are considered the first of their kind in the Arab world and the world, as they rely on artificial intelligence in forecasts for the coming months, by developing complex mathematical algorithms and equations to detect atmospheric behavior and correct long-range weather forecasts.

In contrast to the daily weather bulletin, these bulletins focus on listing the general weather during a month, as the aim is to know the deviation of the amounts of rain and temperatures from their general rates. Many meteorologists in the world are busy trying to solve the puzzle of making accurate seasonal forecasts by conducting many researches in this regard, in which the Arab Weather team participates in part.

The intended benefit of the quarterly bulletins lies in assisting various sectors in early planning for the fall and winter seasons alike, especially the agricultural sector, which bases its agricultural plans on these indicators, which sometimes help in making profits by exploiting this information, in addition to many other sectors that You benefit from these expectations, such as the commercial sectors, the apparel sector, the energy sector, and others.

General situation:

1. The current winter season is characterized by much higher amounts of rain than the rates in the desert regions in the south and east of the Kingdom.
2. Great activity of the Siberian air rise, which leads to low temperatures, especially in the winter quarters.
3. Expectations that the momentum of the rainy season and winter conditions will continue to be delayed in the agricultural regions (i.e. in the north and center of the Kingdom) to the fifties of winter.
4. Indicators of chances of snowfall this season are not clear.

January 2023:

• Precipitation: less than normal
• Temperature: Turn colder than normal
• Chance of torrents: high
• Snow chance: generally low, except for the southern high mountain elevations.
• Description of weather systems: The Siberian air rise goes deep into the Middle East, in addition to its union at times with an air rise that dominates the south and southwest of the European continent. All of this is also associated with a clear and unusual activity of the Red Sea depression. This air system leads to the Levant, including Jordan, being affected by the following:
  
  • Weekly atmospheric subsystems that cause frequent cases of atmospheric instability.
  • Periods of stability separating the sub-states are characterized by extremely cold weather
  • Frequent formation of fog and frost.
  • dominance of the Siberian High Altitude.
  • Rainfall is higher than average in the desert regions in the south and east of the Kingdom.

February 2023:

• Rainfall: about average
• Temperature: Turn colder than normal
• Chance of floods: Medium
• Snow chance: Medium
• Description of the weather systems: The weather systems gradually improve, and the Kingdom and the rest of the Levant reach depressions and integrated winter weather systems that bring with them low temperatures and precipitation from time to time. Statistically, the chances of snowfall in the mountains are improving, but the signs are not clear, unlike previous years.

March 2023:

• Precipitation: above average
• Temperatures: Cooler than average
• Chance of floods: Medium
• Snow chance: low to medium.
• Description of the weather systems: The weather systems continue to improve in the northern hemisphere, as more depressions and winter systems reach the region, which bring with them rain and significantly low temperatures.

Note: It is strictly forbidden to transfer this information, data and weather forecast and publish it on social media and others and / or dispose of it in any way without obtaining the prior and written approval of Arabia Weather, under penalty of legal liability.

God knows