La Nina will continue during the winter of 2024/2025 at a high rate. What impact will it have on the Arab world?

Arabia Weather - After following up on the latest computer modeling outputs regarding the deviation of the temperature of water bodies from averages, meteorologists at the Arab Regional Weather Center said that the region located on the equator of the Pacific Ocean is still witnessing a clear cooling of the water surface temperature, which means that the phenomenon of (La Nina) ) The climate will continue during the coming months, with high chances that it will remain during the upcoming winter 2024/2025.

What is the La Nina phenomenon?

Arab weather experts have explained that the term La Nina refers to a large-scale ocean and atmospheric climate phenomenon associated with periodic cooling in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central, eastern and central tropical Pacific Ocean. The La Nina or La Nina phenomenon represents the cold phase of the “ENSO” cycle and means that Ocean water temperatures are cooler than average.

The La Nina phenomenon will continue during the winter of 2024/2025, with a probability exceeding 80%, according to NOAA.

It is likely, God willing, according to the specialists at the Arabian Weather Center, that the La Nina phenomenon may continue with us during the coming fall and winter seasons 2024/2025, and the probability of its continuation reaches 80%, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), but it cannot be certain that its effects will be inevitable in terms of its impact on The world's climate, as all likely effects are the result of statistical processing of the years in which this phenomenon occurred, with the need to emphasize that these climate cycles are only an integral part of giant patterns that move global weather systems.

La Nina is statistically associated with the intensification of the Siberian Ridge in the winter in the eastern Mediterranean and with higher than average rainfall in the western Mediterranean.

Arab weather forecasters believe that the La Nina phenomenon is statistically linked to the intensification of the influence of the Siberian High on the Arabian Peninsula and the Levant during the winter season. The La Nina phenomenon affects the Arab region mostly with a lack of rain in the regions of the Arab Levant, but the opposite happens in the regions of the Maghreb, where rain increases and temperatures fall below their average. The chance of floods and torrents increases in the regions of the Maghreb, while the chance of drought increases in the regions of the Arab Levant as a result of the control of the Siberian high altitude.

Specialists pointed out that La Nina affects the pattern of air currents and global weather in multiple ways, which may lead to changes in temperature and precipitation in different regions of the world, but it cannot be certain that its effects will be inevitable in terms of its impact on the world’s climate, as all likely effects are Resulting from statistical processing operations over the years in which this phenomenon occurred, with the need to emphasize that these climate cycles are only an integral part of giant patterns that drive global weather systems.

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Scientifically: La Nina is associated with a hurricane season higher than normal in the Atlantic Ocean.

Does the continuation of the “La Nina” phenomenon in the summer herald more severe heat waves globally?

God knows.