Monitoring the formation of the first orbital system in the Arabian Sea during the next week

Arab Weather - The results of analyzes and computer simulation data for weather forecasts indicate the possibility of a tropical state forming in the southeastern Arabian Sea during the next week. These outcomes differ in their potential for development and trajectory, as it is difficult to know this accurately from now before the formation of the orbital state on the ground, but this report will review the possibility of its formation.

First: The water temperature of the Arabian Sea

The growth and development of tropical states depends mainly and greatly on the temperature of the water surface, which must exceed 27 degrees Celsius or more, as hot water is considered as the fuel that powers these tropical systems.

Returning to the Arabian Sea, we find that the surface temperature of the water reaches 29-31 degrees Celsius, which is very suitable and ideal for the process of developing the weather condition, and these conditions are considered very suitable.

Second: shear winds

One of the important and essential things in the process of developing tropical states is the weakening of the shear winds, and shear winds are defined as the change in the speed and direction of the winds in both vertical and horizontal directions, as these winds weaken and limit the vertical growth of thunderstorm clouds, that is, they It hinders the process of increasing the thickness of the clouds, and thus they become shallow and stratified and thus weaken the orbital system.

In our case, the shear winds are very active when the monsoon winds start and dominate, but the monsoon winds have not yet blown over the Arabian Sea, which means that the conditions will be suitable as well.

Third: dry winds

And as a result of the continuous positioning of air canyons in the airspace of the Arabian Peninsula, this leads to blocking the way for dry winds such as the Al-Bawareh winds and not descending to the atmosphere of the Arabian Sea.

Therefore, the weather conditions are suitable so far for the formation and perhaps the development of the tropical state if it is formed in the Arabian Sea, God willing.