October 2023 | Monitoring the formation of 2-3 rainy weather events of varying intensity, especially in the second half of the month

Monthly weather forecast for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

October 2023... Monitoring the formation of 2-3 rainy weather conditions of varying intensity and the gradual proliferation of thunderclouds, especially in the second half of the month.

General situation

1. Gradual activity of the Red Sea depression, especially in the second half of the month.
2. Monitoring the formation of 2-3 rainy weather events of varying intensity during the second half of the month, covering several regions from time to time.
3. Rainfall improved in Hail and perhaps Qassim during the last week of October.
4. Warmer weather than usual in northwestern and eastern Saudi Arabia.

Aerial maps

The most important expected weather phenomena
Temperature deviation from general averages

Rainfall deviation from general averages

Weather forecast for each week

Week 1 (October 1-7)

the heat

West of the northern border: below average.

Western and eastern Saudi Arabia: higher than average.

Rest of the regions: about average.

Rain

Scattered rain showers in northern and southern Saudi Arabia

Rest of the rain: No significant rain.

Description of the week

The tropical high dominates the central and eastern Arabian Peninsula, coinciding with the push of air depressions towards the central and eastern Mediterranean Sea, extending to the Levant and northern Arabia.

This leads to the emergence of limited unstable weather conditions in Saudi Arabia, with an increase in clouds and a chance for local and scattered rain, God willing.

Week 2 (October 8-14)

the heat

Northwestern and southern Saudi Arabia and the Empty Quarter: higher than average.

Rest of the regions: about average.

Rain

Scattered rain showers in northern and southern Saudi Arabia,

Description of the week

The same weather systems continue to affect the Arabian Peninsula.

This leads to the emergence of limited unstable weather conditions in Saudi Arabia and Iraq, with an increase in clouds and a chance for local and scattered rain, God willing.

Week 3 (October 15-21)

the heat

Western Saudi Arabia: Below average.

Rest of the regions: about average.

Rain

Thunderstorms of varying intensity in the west, north, and parts of central Saudi Arabia

Scattered rain showers in southern Saudi Arabia

Description of the week

It is expected that a change will occur in the distribution of atmospheric masses and systems, as the tropical high moves away to the east, making way for the jet stream to refract southwards in a positive manner, God willing, and atmospheric depressions in the high layers of the atmosphere extend towards the west of the Arabian Peninsula and the Red Sea depression becomes active.

Therefore, it is expected that a state of air instability will form over parts of western, central and northern Saudi Arabia and parts of Iraq, so cumulonimbus clouds will multiply and showers of varying intensity will fall, which may sometimes be accompanied by thunder, and dust-stirring winds will be active in some areas.

The fourth week and the rest of the month (October 22-31)

the heat

Western Saudi Arabia: Below average.

Rest of the regions: about average.

Rain

Thunderstorms of varying intensity in different areas of Saudi Arabia

Scattered rain showers in southern Saudi Arabia

Description of the week

It is expected that several regions will continue to be affected by unstable weather conditions, as a result of the expansion of high weather troughs from the north and west towards the Arabian Peninsula.

Therefore, the chances of rain remain possible, and their area will expand, and cumulonimbus clouds will increase. Rain will also be accompanied by lightning at times and dusty wind activity in some areas.

God knows