Seasonal weather forecast for the Arabian Peninsula
Summer 2024: The heat is expected to gradually increase as the summer passes, and wet waves will be observed, leading to some rain events, specifically in the months of July and August.
Arabia Weather - Arabia Weather presents to you the expected seasonal weather forecast during the months (June, July, and August) for the year 2024.
Release: May 2024
Issuing these forecasts depends on studying the behavior of temperature and atmospheric pressure in the northern hemisphere, including the atmosphere and major bodies of water, and integrating those forecasts with global monitoring centers to produce the highest possible forecast accuracy.
Arab weather experts in the Scientific Research and Development Department have developed scientific methods that are considered the first of their kind in the Arab world and the world, as they rely on artificial intelligence in forecasting the coming months, by developing complex mathematical algorithms and equations to reveal the behavior of the atmosphere and correct long-range weather forecasts.
In contrast to the daily weather bulletin, these bulletins focus on listing the general weather condition during a month, where their goal is to know the deviation of rainfall amounts and temperatures from their general averages. Many meteorologists in the world are busy trying to solve the mystery of achieving accurate seasonal forecasts by conducting a lot of research in this regard, part of which the Arabia Weather team participates in.
The desired benefit of the quarterly bulletins lies in helping various sectors in early planning for both the fall and winter seasons, especially the agricultural sector, which builds its agricultural plans on these indicators, which sometimes help in reaping and making profits by exploiting this information, in addition to many other sectors that Benefiting from these forecasts, such as the commercial sectors, the apparel sector, the energy sector, and others.
The most important expected weather phenomena
Expected distribution of weather systems
Rainfall deviation from general averages
Temperature deviation from general averages
First month: June 2024
General situation: The subtropical high in the upper atmosphere over the peninsula gradually intensifies during the month, leading to a continuous rise in temperatures. Thermal depressions deepen in eastern Saudi Arabia, which leads to temperatures being warmer than their usual levels. In many parts of the Arabian Peninsula and the Gulf states, the Bawarih winds are active at several periods of the month and lead to dust storms that lead to a significant decrease in horizontal visibility. Cumulus clouds will also be active, God willing, over southwest Saudi Arabia and western Yemen, but they will be less than usual.
Country |
Rain forecast |
Temperature forecast |
Recommendations |
Saudi Arabia |
Concentrated in southwestern Saudi Arabia |
Higher than average in several regions |
Extreme heat warning |
Sultanate of Oman |
There is/no significant rain |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
The UAE |
There is no significant rain |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
Kuwait |
There is/no significant rain |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
Qatar and Bahrain |
There is/no significant rain |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
Second month: July 2024
General situation: It is expected that the high air pressure will be concentrated in the high layers of the atmosphere over the northern regions of the Arabian Peninsula for most of the month, and this will lead to:
Country |
Rain forecast |
Temperature forecast |
Recommendations |
Saudi Arabia |
Higher than average in the south and southwest of the Kingdom. It is not unlikely that some cumulus clouds will extend to other areas. |
Higher than average in several regions |
Extreme heat warning Floods form in the southern and southwestern regions |
Sultanate of Oman |
Higher than average. |
Convert to below par. |
Extreme heat warning And from the formation of torrents in the Hajar Mountains and the surrounding areas |
The UAE |
Higher than average. |
Convert to below par. |
Extreme heat warning The torrents form in the areas of the eastern highlands |
Kuwait |
It is not unlikely that chances of rain will affect it at intervals. |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
Qatar and Bahrain |
It is not unlikely that chances of rain will affect it at intervals. |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
Third month: August 2024
General situation: The extension of the ITCZ reaches its peak in the atmosphere of the Arabian Peninsula, which leads to higher than average rainfall rates across many regions of the south and southwest of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, in addition to parts of the Sultanate of Oman and the Emirates, especially the mountain highlands. And neighboring areas. The chances of the southern Arabian Peninsula, including parts of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Oman, and the Emirates, also being affected on some days by an extension of the monsoon depression/eastern wave leading to rain. It is not usual to receive rain during the summer, but this needs to be followed up within the scope of the near period. And the average.
Country |
Rain forecast |
Temperature forecast |
Recommendations |
Saudi Arabia |
Higher than average in the south and southwest of the Kingdom. It is not unlikely that some cumulus clouds will extend to other areas. |
Higher than average in several regions |
Extreme heat warning Floods form in the southern and southwestern regions |
Sultanate of Oman |
Higher than average. |
Convert to below par. |
Extreme heat warning And from the formation of torrents in the Hajar Mountains and the surrounding areas |
The UAE |
Higher than average. |
Convert to below par. |
Extreme heat warning The torrents form in the areas of the eastern highlands |
Kuwait |
It is not unlikely that chances of rain will affect it at intervals. |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
Qatar and Bahrain |
It is not unlikely that chances of rain will affect it at intervals. |
Higher than average |
Extreme heat warning |
God knows.
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